Modelling the health impacts of disruptions to essential health services during COVID-19
COVID-19 directly causes death and illness, but its indirect negative effects are just as important, such as the disruption to health and society, the resources that have had to be allocated to its mitigation and away from other areas, and the overall impact on the economy and society. Understanding these effects and how policies can eliminate, reduce or mitigate them is crucial.
The effects of COVID-19 have been studied using a variety of epidemiological models. This guide provides a technical overview and description of models that have been used to assess the potential impact of disruptions to essential health services caused by the pandemic from conditions other than COVID-19 illness. The Module 1 focuses on the effects on health services and societal mechanisms related to sexual, reproductive, maternal, newborn, child and adolescent health, as well as child survival and nutrition.